V-Lab
NiSource Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
20.15%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
20.23%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Month
20.50%
decreased by 0.37%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 129% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0346 | 14.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0435 | 17.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9109 | 423.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0559 | 8.87*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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