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S&P GSCI Light Energy Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, April 20th, 2026

1 Day

8.85%

increased by 0.67%

1 Week

9.77%

increased by 1.59%

1 Month

13.42%

increased by 5.24%

Analysis last updated: Friday, April 17, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of S&P GSCI Light Energy Spot Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time