V-Lab: S&P GSCI Light Energy Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

V-Lab

S&P GSCI Light Energy Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, July 1st, 2025:-0.00% (-5.00%)

Analysis last updated: Monday, June 30, 2025 at 11:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$m$	61
$α$	0.7500	7,499,900.00
$β$	0.0000	100.00
$γ$	0.5000	5,000,000.00
$λ_{1}$	1.1270	30.03
$λ_{2}$	0.3000	22.06
$λ_{3}$	0.0000	0.00

Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 27, 2025

News Impact Curve

Impact of return on volatility tomorrow

Volatility Forecasts

Volatility Forecasts

Other S&P GSCI Light Energy Spot Index Analyses
GARCH
GJR-GARCH
EGARCH
AGARCH
GAS-GARCH Student T