S&P GSCI Light Energy Spot Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, April 29th, 2026
1 Day
18.27%
increased by 0.93%
1 Week
31.02%
increased by 13.68%
1 Month
111.60%
increased by 94.26%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, April 28, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.6939 | 6,938,530.00 | |
| 0.0561 | 561,470.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0868 | 867,930.00 | |
| 0.9342 | 9,341,600.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 24, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Apr 24, 2026
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