Bloomberg US Treasury 20+ Yr Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
10.88%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Week
10.95%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Month
11.22%
increased by 0.22%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8111 | 7.23 | |
| 0.0409 | 7.65 | |
| 0.9516 | 165.00 | |
| -0.0005 | -1.74 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
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