Bloomberg US Treasury 20+ Yr Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026
1 Day
10.47%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Week
10.50%
decreased by 0.09%
1 Month
10.61%
increased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6997 | 7.90 | |
| 0.0377 | 38.61 | |
| 0.9954 | 1,372.96 | |
| 10.7862 | 3.42 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
Feb 28, 1994 to Apr 4, 2025
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