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V-Lab

Bloomberg US Credit Baa Total Return Index Value Unhedged USD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026

1 Day

0.54%

decreased by 4.46%

1 Week

0.56%

decreased by 4.44%

1 Month

0.64%

decreased by 4.36%

Analysis last updated: Friday, March 27, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Bloomberg US Credit Baa Total Return Index Value Unhedged USD MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
m46
α0.74517,451,140.00
β0.004948,860.00
γ0.50005,000,000.00
λ11.699722.98
λ20.244918.65
λ30.00000.00
Estimation Period:
Jan 30, 1990 to Nov 12, 2021
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