Bloomberg US Credit Baa Total Return Index Value Unhedged USD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
0.54%
decreased by 4.46%
1 Week
0.56%
decreased by 4.44%
1 Month
0.64%
decreased by 4.36%
Analysis last updated: Friday, March 27, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | ||
| 0.7451 | 7,451,140.00 | |
| 0.0049 | 48,860.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 1.6997 | 22.98 | |
| 0.2449 | 18.65 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 30, 1990 to Nov 12, 2021
Jan 30, 1990 to Nov 12, 2021
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