Bloomberg Global Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
11.72%
increased by 6.40%
1 Week
23.74%
increased by 18.42%
1 Month
849.66%
increased by 844.34%
Analysis last updated: Monday, March 30, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | ||
| 0.7068 | 7,067,550.00 | |
| 0.0432 | 432,450.00 | |
| 0.5000 | 5,000,000.00 | |
| 0.0123 | 4.10 | |
| 1.0000 | 36.75 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Sep 1, 1997 to Apr 4, 2025
Sep 1, 1997 to Apr 4, 2025
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