Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bloomberg Global Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

4.90%

decreased by 3.29%

1 Week

12.95%

increased by 4.76%

1 Month

497.93%

increased by 489.74%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bloomberg Global Treasury Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged USD MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
m26
α0.70687,067,550.00
β0.0432432,450.00
γ0.50005,000,000.00
λ10.01234.10
λ21.000036.75
λ30.00000.00
Estimation Period:
Sep 1, 1997 to Apr 4, 2025