Bloomberg Asian Pacific Aggregate Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged JPY MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
3.47%
decreased by 1.37%
1 Week
4.28%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Month
5.97%
increased by 1.13%
Analysis last updated: Monday, March 30, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 86 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 10.0000 | 24.85 | |
| 0.3940 | 90.68 | |
| 0.6060 | 87.71 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 30, 2000 to Apr 4, 2025
Jun 30, 2000 to Apr 4, 2025
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