Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bloomberg Asian Pacific Aggregate Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged JPY MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

3.86%

decreased by 0.98%

1 Week

4.73%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Month

6.31%

increased by 1.47%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 01:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bloomberg Asian Pacific Aggregate Bond Index Total Return Value Unhedged JPY MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
m86
α1.00009,999,900.00
β0.0000100.00
γ0.00000.00
λ110.000024.85
λ20.394090.68
λ30.606087.71
Estimation Period:
Jun 30, 2000 to Apr 4, 2025