ICE BofA AAA US Corporate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Thursday, April 2nd, 2026
1 Day
1.64%
decreased by 5.00%
1 Week
2.78%
decreased by 3.86%
1 Month
5.82%
decreased by 0.82%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 02:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 56 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0071 | 70,720.00 | |
| -0.0141 | -141,240.00 | |
| 0.2825 | 36.54 | |
| 0.9717 | 484.90 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Mar 27, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Mar 27, 2026
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