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V-Lab

ICE BofA AAA US Corporate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, April 2nd, 2026

1 Day

1.64%

decreased by 5.00%

1 Week

2.78%

decreased by 3.86%

1 Month

5.82%

decreased by 0.82%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 02:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of ICE BofA AAA US Corporate Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
m56
α1.00009,999,900.00
β0.007170,720.00
γ-0.0141-141,240.00
λ10.282536.54
λ20.9717484.90
λ30.00000.00
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Mar 27, 2026