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V-Lab

ICE BofA AA US Corporate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, May 22nd, 2026

1 Day

-0.00%

decreased by 8.95%

1 Week

0.95%

decreased by 8.00%

1 Month

1.73%

decreased by 7.22%

Analysis last updated: Friday, May 22, 2026 at 02:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ICE BofA AA US Corporate Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
m46
α0.75007,499,900.00
β0.0000100.00
γ0.50005,000,000.00
λ10.00708.24
λ21.000055.36
λ30.00000.00
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to May 15, 2026