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V-Lab

ICE BofA AA US Corporate Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, April 2nd, 2026

1 Day

-0.00%

decreased by 4.91%

1 Week

0.86%

decreased by 4.05%

1 Month

1.71%

decreased by 3.20%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, April 2, 2026 at 02:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of ICE BofA AA US Corporate Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
m41
α0.75007,499,900.00
β0.0000100.00
γ0.50005,000,000.00
λ10.006565,050.00
λ21.00009,999,900.00
λ30.0000100.00
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Mar 27, 2026