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V-Lab

Bloomberg US Credit Aa Total Return Index Value Unhedged USD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026

1 Day

10.35%

increased by 3.75%

1 Week

43,828,501,411,752,600.00%

increased by 43,828,501,411,752,590.00%

1 Month

171,888,359,117,189,780,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 171,888,359,117,189,780,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, March 27, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Bloomberg US Credit Aa Total Return Index Value Unhedged USD MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time
paramt-stat
m116
α1.00009,999,900.00
β0.0000100.00
γ0.00000.00
λ10.0078410.63
λ20.0000100.00
λ30.83192,090.26
Estimation Period:
Jan 30, 1990 to Nov 12, 2021
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