Bloomberg US Credit Aa Total Return Index Value Unhedged USD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Friday, March 27th, 2026
1 Day
10.35%
increased by 3.75%
1 Week
43,828,501,411,752,600.00%
increased by 43,828,501,411,752,590.00%
1 Month
171,888,359,117,189,780,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
increased by 171,888,359,117,189,780,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, March 27, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 116 | ||
| 1.0000 | 9,999,900.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0078 | 410.63 | |
| 0.0000 | 100.00 | |
| 0.8319 | 2,090.26 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 30, 1990 to Nov 12, 2021
Jan 30, 1990 to Nov 12, 2021
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