6M US Treasury CMT 6 Month GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:8.89% (-0.25%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0114 | 13.87 | |
| 0.0628 | 25.00 | |
| 0.8982 | 380.29 | |
| 0.0780 | 12.80 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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