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V-Lab

6M US Treasury CMT 6 Month GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026

1 Day

12.38%

increased by 5.27%

1 Week

12.60%

increased by 5.49%

1 Month

13.44%

increased by 6.33%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:00 AM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of 6M US Treasury CMT 6 Month GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time