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V-Lab

7Y US Treasury CMT 7 Year GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026

1 Day

18.85%

increased by 0.26%

1 Week

18.89%

increased by 0.30%

1 Month

19.06%

increased by 0.47%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:02 AM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of 7Y US Treasury CMT 7 Year GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

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Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time