5Y US Treasury CMT 5 Year GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:18.62% (+0.78%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0038 | 4.05 | |
| 0.0192 | 15.78 | |
| 0.9616 | 998.55 | |
| 0.0384 | 15.30 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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