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V-Lab

5Y US Treasury CMT 5 Year GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026

1 Day

20.07%

increased by 0.49%

1 Week

20.12%

increased by 0.54%

1 Month

20.31%

increased by 0.73%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:01 AM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of 5Y US Treasury CMT 5 Year GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time