5Y US Treasury CMT 5 Year EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:19.42% (+1.06%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0057 | 5.97 | |
| 0.0944 | 38.81 | |
| 0.9982 | 3,168.81 | |
| -0.0341 | -14.46 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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