5Y US Treasury CMT 5 Year Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
22.36%
increased by 1.56%
1 Week
22.50%
increased by 1.70%
1 Month
23.04%
increased by 2.24%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1483 | 3.65 | |
| 0.0499 | 10.27 | |
| 0.9497 | 193.61 | |
| -0.0007 | -1.76 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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