1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 18th, 2026:16.99% (+1.67%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2382 | 2.25 | |
| 0.0925 | 9.08 | |
| 0.9071 | 88.73 | |
| -0.0622 | -1.66 | |
| 0.0535 | 0.94 | |
| 0.1386 | 3.42 | |
| -0.2865 | -7.47 | |
| 0.2155 | 5.97 | |
| -0.0594 | -2.08 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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