1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
21.99%
increased by 7.92%
1 Week
22.20%
increased by 8.13%
1 Month
23.03%
increased by 8.96%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:01 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2340 | 2.24 | |
| 0.0925 | 9.13 | |
| 0.9071 | 89.14 | |
| -0.0623 | -1.70 | |
| 0.0579 | 1.04 | |
| 0.1256 | 3.23 | |
| -0.2726 | -7.61 | |
| 0.2094 | 6.31 | |
| -0.0585 | -2.22 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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