1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
17.25%
increased by 2.88%
1 Week
17.34%
increased by 2.97%
1 Month
17.65%
increased by 3.28%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:01 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.7747 | 10.66 | |
| 0.0686 | 85.38 | |
| 0.9978 | 5,279.61 | |
| 4.6830 | 52.76 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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