1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:13.89% (+0.31%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0098 | 12.89 | |
| 0.0436 | 21.94 | |
| 0.9277 | 486.21 | |
| 0.0575 | 13.32 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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