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V-Lab

1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026

1 Day

17.52%

increased by 4.27%

1 Week

17.66%

increased by 4.41%

1 Month

18.22%

increased by 4.97%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:01 AM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of 1Y US Treasury CMT 1 Year GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

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Volatility Forecast

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