30Y US Treasury CMT 30 Year GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:13.75% (-0.04%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0029 | 4.67 | |
| 0.0205 | 16.95 | |
| 0.9622 | 1,009.61 | |
| 0.0328 | 9.18 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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