30Y US Treasury CMT 30 Year GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
12.17%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Week
12.22%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Month
12.40%
increased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0028 | 4.67 | |
| 0.0203 | 16.93 | |
| 0.9625 | 1,020.65 | |
| 0.0325 | 9.19 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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