2Y US Treasury 2 Year Zero Coupon Yield Continuously Compounded GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
16.85%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Week
16.94%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Month
17.31%
increased by 0.16%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 03:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0063 | 6.17 | |
| 0.0264 | 17.68 | |
| 0.9510 | 701.83 | |
| 0.0453 | 13.99 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Other 2Y US Treasury 2 Year Zero Coupon Yield Continuously Compounded Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Government Bonds