7Y US Treasury 7 Year Zero Coupon Yield Continuously Compounded GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 15th, 2026
1 Day
19.84%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Week
19.88%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
20.03%
decreased by 0.08%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 03:09 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0030 | 4.22 | |
| 0.0193 | 17.33 | |
| 0.9635 | 1,012.05 | |
| 0.0344 | 14.03 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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