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V-Lab

3Y US Treasury CMT 3 Year GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026

1 Day

20.89%

increased by 1.16%

1 Week

20.95%

increased by 1.22%

1 Month

21.19%

increased by 1.46%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:01 AM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of 3Y US Treasury CMT 3 Year GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time