3Y US Treasury CMT 3 Year GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:17.36% (+0.77%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0075 | 12.42 | |
| 0.0532 | 32.70 | |
| 0.9468 | 632.48 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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