1M US Treasury CMT 1 Month GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:8.46% (-0.15%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0031 | 4.70 | |
| 0.0595 | 21.95 | |
| 0.9405 | 304.98 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 31, 2001 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 31, 2001 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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