1M US Treasury CMT 1 Month MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
7.40%
decreased by 0.83%
1 Week
8.31%
increased by 0.08%
1 Month
12.28%
increased by 4.05%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:00 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.0623 | 9.34 | |
| 0.6358 | 37.62 | |
| 0.4341 | 16.50 | |
| 0.0081 | 4.12 | |
| 0.0725 | 6.04 | |
| 0.9275 | 69.46 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 31, 2001 to Jun 12, 2026
Jul 31, 2001 to Jun 12, 2026
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