1M US Treasury CMT 1 Month MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 19th, 2026:7.70% (+0.43%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.0637 | 9.47 | |
| 0.6357 | 37.19 | |
| 0.4311 | 16.18 | |
| 0.0094 | 4.27 | |
| 0.0721 | 5.95 | |
| 0.9279 | 68.85 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 31, 2001 to Feb 13, 2026
Jul 31, 2001 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
Other 1M US Treasury CMT 1 Month Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Government Bonds