6M US Treasury CMT 6 Month MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
12.21%
increased by 5.46%
1 Week
12.96%
increased by 6.21%
1 Month
15.16%
increased by 8.41%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:00 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.0527 | 12.71 | |
| 0.7145 | 91.31 | |
| 0.2271 | 28.26 | |
| 0.0074 | 4.83 | |
| 0.0772 | 7.01 | |
| 0.9228 | 78.19 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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