6M US Treasury CMT 6 Month MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 19th, 2026:7.35% (-0.40%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | ||
| 0.0528 | 12.59 | |
| 0.7153 | 91.25 | |
| 0.2265 | 28.02 | |
| 0.0079 | 4.85 | |
| 0.0783 | 6.88 | |
| 0.9217 | 75.66 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
Other 6M US Treasury CMT 6 Month Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Government Bonds