6M US Treasury CMT 6 Month EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:8.63% (+0.72%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0276 | 13.42 | |
| 0.2130 | 44.29 | |
| 0.9978 | 2,247.19 | |
| -0.0674 | -18.18 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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