1M US Treasury CMT 1 Month EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:7.88% (-0.47%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0417 | 12.12 | |
| 0.2032 | 39.88 | |
| 0.9972 | 1,947.60 | |
| -0.1649 | -17.74 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 31, 2001 to Feb 13, 2026
Jul 31, 2001 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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