1M US Treasury CMT 1 Month APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:9.51% (-0.30%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0216 | 18.07 | |
| 0.0910 | 17.13 | |
| 0.9083 | 211.73 | |
| 0.6235 | 6.97 | |
| 1.5317 | 22.20 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 31, 2001 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 31, 2001 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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