5Y US Treasury CMT 5 Year APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:16.21% (-0.02%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0039 | 9.87 | |
| 0.0379 | 27.46 | |
| 0.9621 | 990.84 | |
| 0.3043 | 16.12 | |
| 1.8057 | 35.32 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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