5Y US Treasury CMT 5 Year Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:18.65% (+0.57%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1550 | 3.67 | |
| 0.0500 | 10.17 | |
| 0.9496 | 191.76 | |
| -0.0009 | -0.65 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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