1Y US Treasury 1 Year Zero Coupon Yield Continuously Compounded Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:12.80% (-0.23%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1379 | 2.75 | |
| 0.0842 | 8.40 | |
| 0.9156 | 91.14 | |
| -0.1195 | -1.88 | |
| 0.1434 | 1.46 | |
| 0.0913 | 1.64 | |
| -0.2915 | -6.88 | |
| 0.2794 | 5.29 | |
| -0.1570 | -1.78 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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