20Y US Treasury 20 Year Zero Coupon Yield Continuously Compounded Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:14.09% (-0.11%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6560 | 6.80 | |
| 0.0449 | 7.82 | |
| 0.9481 | 151.06 | |
| 0.0047 | 2.40 | |
| -0.0113 | -3.07 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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