3Y US Treasury CMT 3 Year Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:19.18% (+0.71%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1877 | 3.28 | |
| 0.0542 | 8.87 | |
| 0.9455 | 153.77 | |
| -0.0003 | -0.17 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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