20Y US Treasury CMT 20 Year Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:13.28% (+0.05%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8151 | 5.70 | |
| 0.0435 | 7.26 | |
| 0.9511 | 149.33 | |
| 0.0075 | 2.79 | |
| -0.0177 | -3.55 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 1, 1993 to Feb 13, 2026
Oct 1, 1993 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
Other 20Y US Treasury CMT 20 Year Analyses
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on Government Bonds