3M US Treasury CMT 3 Month Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:6.54% (+0.82%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0806 | 1.55 | |
| 0.1813 | 0.23 | |
| 0.8187 | 1.04 | |
| -0.2994 | -1.08 | |
| 0.3903 | 1.02 | |
| -0.0357 | -0.25 | |
| -0.2612 | -3.52 | |
| 0.5841 | 7.63 | |
| -0.6258 | -6.85 | |
| 0.0308 | 0.31 | |
| 0.4673 | 2.17 | |
| -0.2435 | -0.67 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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