3M US Treasury CMT 3 Month Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:5.44% (-0.37%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0819 | 2.06 | |
| 0.1816 | 0.33 | |
| 0.8184 | 1.49 | |
| -0.2870 | -1.68 | |
| 0.3732 | 1.56 | |
| -0.0293 | -0.28 | |
| -0.2606 | -3.53 | |
| 0.5764 | 7.46 | |
| -0.6135 | -6.90 | |
| 0.0178 | 0.18 | |
| 0.4839 | 3.37 | |
| -0.2938 | -2.40 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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