1Y US Treasury 1 Year Zero Coupon Yield Continuously Compounded Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:14.67% (+0.23%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1714 | 2.71 | |
| 0.0872 | 1.58 | |
| 0.9128 | 16.54 | |
| -0.2936 | -1.80 | |
| 0.3708 | 1.64 | |
| -0.1119 | -1.03 | |
| 0.1963 | 2.53 | |
| -0.3307 | -3.08 | |
| 0.1227 | 0.87 | |
| 0.1611 | 1.38 | |
| -0.1464 | -2.43 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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