10Y US Treasury CMT 10 Year Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 20th, 2026:15.71% (-0.30%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9751 | 3.84 | |
| 0.0482 | 9.84 | |
| 0.9507 | 189.68 | |
| -0.0006 | -1.79 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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