10Y US Treasury CMT 10 Year Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
17.93%
increased by 0.25%
1 Week
18.06%
increased by 0.38%
1 Month
18.54%
increased by 0.86%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9706 | 3.85 | |
| 0.0479 | 9.91 | |
| 0.9510 | 192.19 | |
| -0.0005 | -1.81 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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