10Y US Treasury CMT 10 Year MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
17.51%
decreased by 0.03%
1 Week
17.60%
increased by 0.06%
1 Month
17.95%
increased by 0.41%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 126 | ||
| 0.0203 | 17.85 | |
| 0.9611 | 931.27 | |
| 0.0365 | 20.65 | |
| 0.0034 | 28.44 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.05 | |
| 0.9998 | 4,443.59 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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