30Y US Treasury CMT 30 Year MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 18th, 2026:13.66% (-0.16%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | ||
| 0.0055 | 5.34 | |
| 0.9785 | 765.08 | |
| 0.0310 | 24.58 | |
| 1.4725 | 0.39 | |
| 0.4345 | 0.39 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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