30Y US Treasury CMT 30 Year APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:13.73% (+2.09%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0029 | 10.59 | |
| 0.0375 | 30.82 | |
| 0.9619 | 1,013.57 | |
| 0.2497 | 16.21 | |
| 1.8341 | 29.33 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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