6M US Treasury CMT 6 Month APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:9.16% (+0.37%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0118 | 21.29 | |
| 0.1002 | 35.02 | |
| 0.8998 | 309.09 | |
| 0.2118 | 16.69 | |
| 1.8942 | 29.84 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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