6M US Treasury CMT 6 Month AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:10.95% (+2.24%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0024 | 1.93 | |
| 0.1310 | 40.09 | |
| 0.8840 | 365.27 | |
| 0.2430 | 13.94 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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