2Y US Treasury CMT 2 Year AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:19.81% (+1.13%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0014 | -0.88 | |
| 0.0545 | 30.84 | |
| 0.9468 | 604.97 | |
| 0.4024 | 12.84 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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