2Y US Treasury CMT 2 Year Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
25.22%
increased by 3.77%
1 Week
25.38%
increased by 3.93%
1 Month
26.00%
increased by 4.55%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:01 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2288 | 2.75 | |
| 0.0598 | 8.08 | |
| 0.9399 | 126.28 | |
| -0.0006 | -1.36 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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