20Y US Treasury CMT 20 Year Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:13.81% (+0.05%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8964 | 4.34 | |
| 0.0441 | 8.05 | |
| 0.9540 | 168.60 | |
| -0.0005 | -1.30 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 1, 1993 to Feb 13, 2026
Oct 1, 1993 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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