20Y US Treasury CMT 20 Year Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
14.24%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Week
14.34%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Month
14.76%
increased by 0.40%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8978 | 4.41 | |
| 0.0437 | 8.10 | |
| 0.9544 | 171.50 | |
| -0.0005 | -1.26 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 1, 1993 to Jun 12, 2026
Oct 1, 1993 to Jun 12, 2026
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