20Y US Treasury CMT 20 Year GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
13.65%
decreased by 0.16%
1 Week
13.71%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Month
13.92%
increased by 0.11%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:02 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0034 | 4.31 | |
| 0.0200 | 18.10 | |
| 0.9633 | 865.53 | |
| 0.0318 | 9.79 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 1, 1993 to Jun 12, 2026
Oct 1, 1993 to Jun 12, 2026
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