20Y US Treasury CMT 20 Year GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:13.70% (+0.13%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0034 | 4.19 | |
| 0.0202 | 18.03 | |
| 0.9631 | 856.05 | |
| 0.0321 | 9.80 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 1, 1993 to Feb 13, 2026
Oct 1, 1993 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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