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V-Lab

1M US Treasury CMT 1 Month GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026

1 Day

6.94%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Week

7.12%

increased by 0.03%

1 Month

7.78%

increased by 0.69%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:00 AM UTC

Date Range:

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graph of 1M US Treasury CMT 1 Month GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

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Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time