1M US Treasury CMT 1 Month GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 20th, 2026:7.72% (-0.18%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0058 | 4.55 | |
| 0.0125 | 2.63 | |
| 0.9289 | 352.38 | |
| 0.1174 | 8.54 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 31, 2001 to Feb 13, 2026
Jul 31, 2001 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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