1M US Treasury CMT 1 Month Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
6.18%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Week
6.46%
increased by 0.17%
1 Month
7.46%
increased by 1.17%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 03:00 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0335 | 1.46 | |
| 0.1461 | 8.96 | |
| 0.8525 | 54.12 | |
| 0.4736 | 0.56 | |
| 0.8750 | 0.68 | |
| -2.4975 | -2.52 | |
| 1.4748 | 2.27 | |
| -0.6578 | -1.97 | |
| 0.1524 | 0.64 | |
| 0.3899 | 1.98 | |
| 0.0229 | 0.07 | |
| -0.3314 | -1.08 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 31, 2001 to Jun 12, 2026
Jul 31, 2001 to Jun 12, 2026
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